Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Filipe L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Vizela		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.37	3.25	3.25
	2.3	3.16	3.18	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.31	3.15	3.17	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	3.11 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
40.7%

Draw
29.4%

Tondela
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Vizela - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tondela will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Morro M. A. (G) 40. Henrique I. 41. Correia A. (C) 5. Mbaye M. 19. Lebedenko O. 20. Semedo Y. 8. Bastunov A. 90. Nascimento D. 24. Morschel H. 18. Semedo V. 12. Tol M.	31. Bernardo (G) 48. Manso T. 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 18. Talocha 97. Cicero 8. Tavares H. 2. Bebeto 30. Ramos R. 7. Xavier 17. Roberto
Substitutes
22. Busnic A. 17. Joao Reis 6. Jota Goncalves 97. Loppy D. 68. Obah P. 91. Pereira T. 47. Ramos P. 4. Rhyner J. 1. Ruberto F. (G)	23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 11. Costinha 26. Cunha N. 21. Maranhao 60. Maviram E. 9. Miro 4. Pola J. 1. Souza G. (G)
Coaches
Lamas S.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Mbaye M. ↓, Joao Reis ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Manso T. ↓, Costinha ↑,
46', Ramos R. ↓, Maranhao ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Costinha ⚽,
67', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
69', Tol M. ↓, Ramos P. ↑,
69', Bastunov A. ↓, Obah P. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Obah P. ⚽,
83', Tavares H. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
88', Costinha 🟨,
88', Talocha ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
88', Morschel H. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
89', Correia A. 🟨,
89', Miro 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Vizela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tondela in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tondela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vizela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vizela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.24	Alverca - Vizela	4:2 ✺
24.11.24	Vizela - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTT
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.24	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Tondela - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Benfica B - Tondela	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Tondela - Leixões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
22.01.22	Tondela - Vizela	2:3
14.08.21	Vizela - Tondela	2:1

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