The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Moscow 8%
Draw 15.6%
CSKA Moscow 76.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.8%
20.6%
66.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.9%
20.7%
66.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Torpedo Moscow - CSKA Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
CSKA Moscow will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Khimki.
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 2).
Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (58.19%), has project points - 19, has currently - 1, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
CSKA has the most likely position - 2 (36.39%), has project points - 59, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
This event has quality36, importance47, match rating42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 1.
Torpedo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
CSKA in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match CSKA is certain favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.
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