Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Guatemala	14:00	Azteca Guatemala
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 3
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport, Q Sport
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8, TVM Sport+
Mexico	14:00	FOX Sports 2
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	01:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra, TUDN, Univision
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Tottenham Hotspur		Roma

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.68	4.2	4.6
	1.72	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.71	4.25	4.59
	1.69	4.31	4.44	Watch
	1.7	4	4.6
	1.75	4.24	4.81
	1.72	4.25	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	4.19 ↑ (3.25)	4.57 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: UniMás

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
56.1%

Draw
22.9%

Roma
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

24.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tottenham Hotspur's performance.

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tottenham Hotspur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	11.1%	8.9%

Tottenham Hotspur - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (35 of 44 users predict this - 79.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 91.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Forster F. (G) 23. Porro P. 6. Dragusin R. 33. Davies B. 14. Gray A. 29. Sarr P. M. 30. Bentancur R. 22. Johnson B. 21. Kulusevski D. 19. Solanke D. 7. Son Heung-Min (C)	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. (C) 15. Hummels M. 5. Ndicka E. 19. Celik Z. 16. Paredes L. 17. Kone M. 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 11. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S.
Substitutes
40. Austin B. (G) 15. Bergvall L. 8. Bissouma Y. 79. Hardy M. 74. King M. 10. Maddison J. 64. Olusesi C. 13. Udogie D. 16. Werner T. 41. Whiteman A. (G) 78. Williams-Barnett L.	12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 4. Cristante B. 28. Le Fee E. 89. Marin R. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 98. Ryan M. (G) 56. Saelemaekers A. 18. Soule M. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Ranieri C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Son Heung-Min (Pen),
20', 1 - 1, Ndicka E. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),
28', Paredes L. 🟨,
28', Kulusevski D. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Johnson B. ⚽, Kulusevski D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dybala P. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
65', Celik Z. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
68', Johnson B. ↓, Maddison J. ↑,
68', Sarr P. M. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
69', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
72', Bentancur R. 🟨,
77', Bentancur R. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
77', Son Heung-Min ↓, Werner T. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Hummels M. ⚽, Angelino (A),

Preview

Recent matches Tottenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roma is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tottenham is a favorite.

There will not play in Tottenham: Lankshear W. (Red Card) Moore M. (Illness) Odobert W. (Thigh Injury) Richarlison (Thigh Injury) Vicario G. (Broken ankle) van de Ven M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury) Shomurodov E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Romero C. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Hermoso M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
23.11.24	Manchester City - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4 ✺
10.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Galatasaray - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
03.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLLWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
24.11.24	Napoli - Roma	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Roma - Bologna	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Saint-Gilloise - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.11.24	Verona - Roma	3:2 ✺
31.10.24	Roma - Torino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Roma	0:1
International Champions Cup
25.07.18	Roma - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4
25.07.17	Tottenham Hotspur - Roma	2:3

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