Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 3
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	18:45	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	QQ Sports
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 10
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 3
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Israel	19:45	Sport 3
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:45	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 3
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app


	Saint-Gilloise		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.45
	3	3.2	2.4
	3.05	3.25	2.42
	3.16	3.25	2.46
	3.1	3.26	2.38
	3	3.3	2.45
	3.13	3.44	2.47
	3	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.28 ↓ (3.55)	2.44 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
31.3%

Draw
29.3%

Roma
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Saint Gilloise - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Roma will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 26. Sykes R. 22. Niang O. 25. Khalaili A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 27. Sadiki N. 28. Machida K. 9. Ivanovic F. 77. Fuseini M.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 4. Cristante B. 3. Angelino 19. Celik Z. 17. Kone M. 28. Le Fee E. 92. El Shaarawy S. 35. Baldanzi T. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 14. Shomurodov E.
Substitutes
10. Ait El Hadj A. 33. Berradi S. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 6. Van De Perre K.	12. Abdulhamid S. 66. Buba Aboubacar 11. Dovbyk A. 21. Dybala P. 15. Hummels M. 89. Marin R. (G) 16. Paredes L. 61. Pisilli N. 98. Ryan M. (G) 18. Soule M. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
27', Celik Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Le Fee E. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
55', Shomurodov E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Mancini G. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
68', Fuseini M. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
68', Khalaili A. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Mac Allister K. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
79', Ivanovic F. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
79', Baldanzi T. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
79', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
89', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
90+2', Sykes R. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Muscle Injury) Teklab H. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Roma: Hermoso M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Boufal S. (Knock) Francois G. (Knock) Mac Allister K. (Muscle Injury) Traore M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Roma: Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.11.24	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Midtjylland - Saint-Gilloise	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWLLT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
03.11.24	Verona - Roma	3:2 ✺
31.10.24	Roma - Torino	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Fiorentina - Roma	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Roma - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL

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