Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	VG+
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7


	Toulouse		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.75
				Watch
				Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)	3.93 ↓ (4.68)	5.92 ↓ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
60.9%

Draw
23.5%

Laval
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

19.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

21.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Toulouse - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Laval will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Restes G. (G) 5. Genreau D. 4. Cresswell C. 6. Akdag U. 2. Messali R. 8. Canvot J. 7. Zajc M. 3. Suazo G. 11. Babicka S. 9. Magri F. 10. Gboho Y.	1. Hautbois M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 2. Kouassi C. 5. Tavares Y. 4. Kokolo W. 3. Cherni A. 10. Sellouki M. 8. Thomas T. 6. Sanna S. 9. Camara M. 11. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
14. Aboukhlal Z. 17. Casseres C. 15. Donnum A. 13. King J. 18. McKenzie M. 19. Methalie D. 16. Niflore M. (G) 12. Saka M. 20. Zuliani E.	13. Adeoti J. 17. Adilehou M. 19. Benard W. 18. Doucoure S. 20. Martins L. 16. Samassa M. (G) 12. Seidou E. 14. Tell J. 15. Zohi K.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Genreau D. ⚽, Cresswell C. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Cresswell C. ⚽, Suazo G. (A),
28', Cherni A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camara M. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
62', Sellouki M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
63', Gboho Y. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
63', Zajc M. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
63', Canvot J. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
67', Tell J. 🟨,
70', Cresswell C. 🟨,
71', Tchokounte M. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
72', Cherni A. ↓, Adeoti J. ↑,
72', Suazo G. ↓, Donnum A. ↑,
77', Kokolo W. 🟨,
78', Genreau D. ↓, King J. ↑,
79', Vargas T. ↓, Adilehou M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Adilehou M. ⚽, Tell J. (A),
90+1', McKenzie M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Toulouse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Laval is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toulouse is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
12.01.25	Toulouse - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Lens - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Hauts Lyonnais - Toulouse	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.24	Toulouse - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Monaco - Toulouse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
10.01.25	Laval - Red Star	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Laval - Lorient	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.24	SA Mérignac - Laval	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Amiens - Laval	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Laval - Caen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWWW

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