Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	01:15	GXR World
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Setanta Sports
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Russia	22:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Spain	20:45	beIN Sports
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:45	beIN Connect
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	19:45	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter
International	19:45	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Toulouse		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.39	4.8	8
	1.39	4.7	8.3	Watch
	1.4	4.87	8.86
	1.41	4.8	8.62	Watch
	1.4	4.6	8
	1.44	5.04	8.3	Watch
	1.39	4.7	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	4.78 ↑ (4.46)	8.3 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
68.4%

Draw
20%

Saint-Étienne
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

19.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	10.4%	4.2%

Toulouse - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Restes G. (G) 19. Sidibe D. 4. Cresswell C. 3. McKenzie M. 15. Donnum A. 23. Casseres C. 8. Sierro V. (C) 17. Suazo G. 80. Babicka S. 7. Aboukhlal Z. 13. King J.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 5. Abdelhamid Y. 19. Petrot L. 17. Cornud P. 6. Bouchouari B. 4. Ekwah P. 14. Mouton L. 22. Davitashvili Z. 32. Stassin L.
Substitutes
6. Akdag U. 30. Dominguez A. (G) 10. Gboho Y. 5. Genreau D. 12. Kamanzi W. 9. Magri F. 22. Messali R. 20. Schmidt N. 21. Zajc M.	39. Aiki A. 37. Amougou M. 31. Fall C. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 45. Pedro K. 9. Sissoko I. 10. Tardieu F.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
19', Sierro V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Abdelhamid Y. 🟨,
49', King J. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Appiah D. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Babicka S. ⚽, Suazo G. (A),
60', Babicka S. ↓, Gboho Y. ↑,
61', Appiah D. 🟨,
61', Stassin L. 🟨,
63', Casseres C. 🟨,
64', Mouton L. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
76', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
76', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
78', King J. ↓, Magri F. ↑,
78', Sierro V. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Aboukhlal Z. ⚽, Schmidt N. (A),
89', Ekwah P. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
89', Cornud P. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
90', Donnum A. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
90', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Genreau D. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Toulouse is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Toulouse: Nicolaisen R. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Cafaro M. (Red Card) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Thigh Injury) Nade M. (Knee Injury) Old B. (Knee Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Muscle Injury) Moueffek A. (Knock)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:19 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:10 (average 0.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
07.12.24	Monaco - Toulouse	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Toulouse - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rennes - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Toulouse - Reims	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
08.12.24	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	5:0 ✺
23.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.09.19	Saint-Étienne - Toulouse	2:2
28.04.19	Saint-Étienne - Toulouse	2:0
25.09.18	Toulouse - Saint-Étienne	2:3
14.01.18	Saint-Étienne - Toulouse	2:0
29.10.17	Toulouse - Saint-Étienne	0:0
29.01.17	Toulouse - Saint-Étienne	0:3
28.08.16	Saint-Étienne - Toulouse	0:0

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