The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trapani 29.3%
Draw 28.2%
Salernitana 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
28.4%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
27.8%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Trapani - Salernitana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 7. Ortisi P. 31. Pirrello R. 23. Motoc A. 30. Nicoli S. 20. Aronica G. 8. Celeghin E. 99. Balla B. 80. Knezovic B. 10. Napolitano L. 77. Stauciuc B.
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 23. Arena M. 18. Golemic V. 33. Anastasio A. 14. Villa L. 21. Carriero G. 6. de Boer K. 24. Quirini E. 20. Ferraris A. 10. Ferrari F. 32. Lescano F.
Substitutes
14. Battimelli G. 33. Benedetti A. 27. Cozzoli F. 17. La Sorsa C. 74. Marcolini D. 18. Matos 19. Morelli G. 4. Nina C. 72. Perri M. 71. Quiroz G. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 5. Vimercati A.
70. Boncori L. 12. Brancolini F. (G) 35. Cabianca E. 45. Di Vico R. 8. Gyabuaa M. 31. Longobardi G. 13. Matino E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Celeghin E. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Quirini E. 🟨,
42', Ortisi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Villa L. ↓, Longobardi G. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Ferrari F. ⚽,
57', Golemic V. 🟨,
58', Knezovic B. ↓, Matos ↑,
65', Carriero G. ↓, Gyabuaa M. ↑,
67', Napolitano L. ↓, Marcolini D. ↑,
67', Ortisi P. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
78', Quirini E. ↓, Cabianca E. ↑,
78', Lescano F. ↓, Boncori L. ↑,
83', Stauciuc B. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
83', Aronica G. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
87', Marcolini D. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Boncori L. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Trapani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Salernitana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).