Match Info

Superettan - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.22	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.42	3.65	2.74
	2.36	3.45	2.70	Watch
	2.24	3.52	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.36)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.85 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
40.8%

Draw
26.4%

Falkenberg
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5%	95%

Trelleborg - Falkenberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkenberg: 83.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Falkenberg (1.96) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Falkenberg (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Falkenberg will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 3. Weberg C. 19. Karlsson T. 15. Godwin E. 7. Andersson J. 24. Christiansson V. 6. Wendt K. 22. Martinsson F. 17. Bohman F. 13. Engstrom H.	1. Andersson A. (G) 2. Johansson G. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 16. Kallstrom H. 26. Hindi S. 28. Nilsson M. 17. Sibelius L. 22. Ekblom V. 21. Andersson A.
Substitutes
21. Alievski E. 16. Asani A. 30. Astor V. (G) 26. Kack J. 14. Nehme A. 5. Ogwuche A. 8. Ruuska O.	30. Aguda G. 5. Hansson N. 33. Larsson M. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 19. Lindberg O. 10. Shahin L. 14. Shears I.
Coaches
Haynes K.	Andersson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Stalheden T. ⚽, Sibelius L. (A),
44', Kallstrom H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Godwin E. ↓, Alievski E. ↑,
50', Wendt K. 🟨,
57', Kallstrom H. 🟨,
61', Andersson J. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
61', Martinsson F. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
66', Ekblom V. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
76', Christiansson V. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
76', Hindi S. ↓, Aguda G. ↑,
76', Sibelius L. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Wendt K. ⚽,
83', Horberg F. 🟨,
84', Johansson G. ↓, Larsson M. ↑,
84', Andersson A. ↓, Shears I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 1.

Trelleborg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Falkenberg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Trelleborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
19.10.25	Utsikten - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	4:1 ✺
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
18.10.25	Falkenberg - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Örebro - Falkenberg	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Falkenberg - Östersund	4:0 ✺
24.09.25	Oddevold - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Falkenberg - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.05.25	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	4:0
22.08.21	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	1:0
20.06.21	Trelleborg - Falkenberg	2:1
15.10.17	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	1:1
09.04.17	Trelleborg - Falkenberg	2:2
22.10.12	Trelleborg - Falkenberg	3:1

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