Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Felgueiras		Arouca

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.2	3.75	1.63
	4.33	3.75	1.72
	4.3	3.89	1.74
	4.31	3.89	1.69
	4.33	3.8	1.65
	4.5	3.94	1.71
	4.4	3.7	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (6.21)	3.77 ↓ (4.07)	1.7 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
21.2%

Draw
24.5%

Arouca
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.5%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

17%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arouca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arouca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Felgueiras - Arouca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sao Bento V. (G) 29. Banguera E. 34. Silva A. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 20. Moura M. . Ktatau 18. Pereira G. 77. Andrade D. 30. Feliz 11. Pereira M. 9. Monteiro T.	16. Thiago (G) 26. Weverson 4. Montero F. 44. Galovic N. 28. Esgaio T. 5. Simao D. (C) 2. Sylla M. 8. Kouassi E. 9. Trezza A. 19. Mujica R. 23. Cristo
Substitutes
21. Brito H. 22. Bruninho 27. Ca L. 8. Landinho 14. Lemos I. M. 4. Nunes D. 24. Pinto B. (G) 13. Takahashi K. 2. Ze Diogo	30. Bukia A. 12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 7. Lawal Y. 20. Moreira P. 13. Rocha M. 89. Santos Carvalho P. 43. Vitinho 17. Yaw M.

Preview

Felgueiras in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arouca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Felgueiras to win the game is with odds 4.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
07.10.23	Vianense - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Felgueiras - Limianos	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.09.23	Felgueiras - Fafe	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Arouca - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
26.09.23	AVS - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
22.09.23	Famalicão - Arouca	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Arouca - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.20	Felgueiras - Arouca	3:3

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