Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 38

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Troyes		Lille

	1	X	2
	13	8	1.17	Watch
	13	8.25	1.18
	14	8	1.17
	13.25	8	1.16
	15.32	9.14	1.16
	11	7	1.12
	14.5	8.4	1.16	Watch
	14	8.8	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.51 ↑ (9.21)	8.2 ↑ (5.84)	1.16 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
7%

Draw
11.5%

Lille
81.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

16.2%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	3.2%	87.1%

Troyes - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gallon G. (G) 17. Salmier Y. 22. Zoukrou B. 4. Palmer-Brown E. 18. Balde T. 6. Kouame R. 24. Chavalerin X. (C) 39. Larouci Y. 11. Rony Lopes 9. Ugbo I. 7. Balde M.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 18. Diakite B. 6. Fonte J. (C) 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 20. Gomes A. 21. Andre B. 7. Bamba J. 10. Cabella R. 11. Ounas A. 9. David J.
Substitutes
19. Bruus A. 27. Dong K. 33. Kohon R. 28. Mazou-Sacko D. 40. Moulin J. (G) 29. Odobert W. 10. Tardieu F. 26. Yade P. N.	35. Baleba C. 27. Bayo M. 25. Costil B. (G) 31. Ismaily 8. Martin J. 26. Virginius A. 22. Weah T. 15. Yoro L. 23. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Kisnorbo P.	Fonseca P.

Preview

Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (67.92%), project points - 24, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Lille has the most likely position - 4 (65.68%), project points - 68, currently - 66, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 49, very small importance 0, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.

Troyes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lille is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Troyes: Ripart R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tardieu F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Djalo T. (Knee Injury) Gomes A. (Leg Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
27.05.23	Angers - Troyes	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Troyes - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Rennes - Troyes	4:0 ✺
07.05.23	Troyes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3 ✺
30.04.23	Troyes - Nice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLL
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
27.05.23	Lille - Nantes	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Lille - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Monaco - Lille	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Reims - Lille	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Lille - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.01.23	Lille - Troyes	5:1
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Lille - Troyes	2:0
French Ligue 1
01.05.22	Troyes - Lille	3:0
04.12.21	Lille - Troyes	2:1
20.01.18	Troyes - Lille	1:0
14.10.17	Lille - Troyes	2:2
23.01.16	Lille - Troyes	1:3

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