The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troyes 9.6%
Draw 15.1%
Paris Saint-Germain 75.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
8.9%
14.6%
76.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.4%
9.7%
71%
Troyes - Paris Saint Germain Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). PSG will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 55% โ 87%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).
Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (56.32%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
PSG has the most likely position - 1 (96.32%), project points - 86, currently - 75, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), a very good chance of win league (96%).
This event has quality54, small importance26, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0.
Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches PSG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match PSG is certain favorite.
There will not play in Troyes: Conte A.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A.
(Red Card)
Kimpembe P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Messi L.
(Suspended)
Mukiele N.
(Muscle Injury)
Neymar
(Ankle Injury)
Pembele T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in PSG: Mendes N.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-30.
Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-14.