Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Troyes		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.68
	2.66	3.4	2.81
	2.37	3.71	2.55	Watch
	2.42	3.34	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.4)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	2.71 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
37.8%

Draw
27.6%

Saint-Étienne
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Troyes - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Saint-Étienne (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 25. Gozzi P. 14. Boura I. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. 8. Diop M. 11. Detourbet M. 9. El Idrissy M. 5. Adeline M.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 8. Appiah D. 39. Pedro K. 3. Nade M. 19. Annan E. 29. Moueffek A. 5. Jaber M. 10. Tardieu F. 7. Cardona I. 17. Duffus J. 20. Boakye A.
Substitutes
1. Boucher Z. (G) 36. Diakite A. 33. Donkor N. 23. Gambor H. 35. Murcy R. 3. Ouzenadji A. 20. Ripart R.	22. Davitashvili Z. 33. Dodote A. 31. El Jamali N. 35. Gadegbeku L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 11. Old B. 9. Stassin L.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Horneland E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Boakye A. ⚽, Duffus J. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Cardona I. ⚽, Duffus J. (A),
44', Gozzi P. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 3, Duffus J. ⚽, Jaber M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Boakye A. 🟨,
59', Duffus J. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Diop M. ⚽, Mille A. (A),
62', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
63', Gozzi P. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
63', El Idrissy M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
73', Moueffek A. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
77', Maronnier L. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
78', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
82', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Ripart R. ⚽,
90', Monfray A. 🟨,
90+3', Adeline M. ↓, Murcy R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0.

Troyes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Saint-Étienne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Troyes: Bentayeb T. (Red Card) Lemaitre N. (Injury) Titi Y. (Inactive) Traore I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Inactive) Ekwah P. (Inactive) Lamba C. (Inactive) Miladinovic I. (Red Card) Traore L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Troyes: Assoumou J. (Injury) Phliponeau A. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
03.11.25	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Troyes - Amiens	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Reims - Troyes	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Troyes - Bastia	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Le Mans - Troyes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
01.11.25	Red Star - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Saint-Étienne - Pau	6:0 ✺
25.10.25	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Saint-Étienne - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	5:0
30.09.23	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	0:1
French Ligue 1
18.03.22	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	1:1
21.11.21	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	0:1
22.04.18	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	2:1
Coupe De France
24.01.18	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 1
01.10.17	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:1

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