Match Info

National League - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Truro City		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.73
	4.15	3.6	1.78
	4.7	3.79	1.76
	3.69	3.59	1.92	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.75
	4.3	3.68	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 (4.23)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
22.1%

Draw
25.7%

Carlisle United
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.8%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.3%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Truro City - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 21. Kinsey M. 5. Harrison T. 32. Charsley H. 3. Riley-Lowe C. (C) 4. Dean W. 15. Jephcott L. 18. Issaka F. 22. Stretton J.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 4. Thomas T. 12. Galvin R. 7. Ajiboye D. 37. Macadam H. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
26. Dean T. 30. Howard W. (G) 27. Janneh S. 20. Law R. 16. Love-Holmes T. 23. Starkie B. 31. Wilson K.	29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 6. Hayden A. 26. Mugabi B. 25. Yeboah E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
67', Whelan C. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
68', Williams J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
73', Bell Z. ↓, Starkie B. ↑,
75', Kelly G. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
83', Issaka F. ↓, Janneh S. ↑,
83', Dean W. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
87', Ajiboye D. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
89', Stretton J. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Truro is Relegated to

Recent form of Truro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carlisle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Carlisle is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Truro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
11.04.26	Boston United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Truro City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Yeovil Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Truro City - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Truro City - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLTT
- Carlisle United
English National League
11.04.26	Carlisle United - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Morecambe - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Carlisle United - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Braintree Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Halifax Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.09.25	Carlisle United - Truro City	3:0

Truro City - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide