Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 28

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)


	Twente		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	13	Watch
	1.26	6	11
	1.21	6.4	14
	1.22	5.5	11
	1.26	6.06	12.63
	1.24	5.5	12	Watch
	1.26	5.9	11.25	Watch
	1.26	6.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.27)	5.94 ↑ (5.45)	11.99 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
76.1%

Draw
16%

Cambuur
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

17.1%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Twente - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Twente has the most likely position - 5 (46%), project points - 61, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (63.12%), project points - 21, currently - 16, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 46, very small importance 8, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Twente won 3.

Recent matches Twente is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cambuur is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Twente is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Twente won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Twente won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
01.04.23	Excelsior - Twente	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Twente - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	0:3 ✺
04.03.23	Twente - Heerenveen	3:3 ✺
26.02.23	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTL
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
01.04.23	Cambuur - Emmen	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Excelsior - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
12.03.23	PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur	5:2 ✺
05.03.23	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	4:1 ✺
25.02.23	AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.10.22	Cambuur - Twente	0:1
06.03.22	Twente - Cambuur	1:0
28.08.21	Cambuur - Twente	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.05.19	Twente - Cambuur	2:2
14.12.18	Cambuur - Twente	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.01.18	Twente - Cambuur	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.16	Twente - Cambuur	3:0

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