The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 76.4%
Draw 15.8%
Cambuur 7.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75%
16.6%
8.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
9.5%
19%
AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 52.1% – 90.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
AZ has the most likely position - 4 (32.99%), has project points - 65, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of qualify for ucl (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (59.89%), has project points - 22, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality44, small importance30, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 4.
Recent matches AZ is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cambuur is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cambuur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match AZ is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in AZ: Bazoer R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cambuur: Paulissen M.
(Yellow Cards)
Tol M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Beukema S.
(Knee Injury)
Dekker M.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Overload)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Cambuur: Gullit M.
(Knee Injury)
Jacobs Ja.
(Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches AZ won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-5.
Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.