The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCSA 20.8%
Draw 25.4%
Feniks-Mariupol 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
28.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
31.2%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCSA's form might have worsened.
Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feniks-Mariupol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCSA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UCSA - Feniks Mariupol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kovalyov A. (G) 73. Castro P. 35. Hiago Cena 70. Irodovskyi D. 10. Matheusinho (C) 15. Osman O. 22. Rogach Y. 45. Sabiyev D. 17. Sklyar O. 49. Vitinho 6. Yuvkhymets R.
1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 15. Chornomorets O. 97. Gerega O. 6. Gunichev Y. 11. Kucherov V. 8. Kukharuk A. 9. Kyslenko S. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 10. Orikhovskyi P. 33. Sydorenko V. (C) 96. Synytsya O.
Substitutes
20. Andrushchenko M. 11. Emere A. 19. Goulart G. 8. Kireev A. 42. Makhnev D. 71. Ruan Santos 7. Sytnykov M. 87. Wojciechowski V. 31. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 28. Zhdanovych O.
14. Grytsak N. 5. Khakhlyov O. 7. Kovalyuk R. 17. Maletsky P. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 22. Podolyak M. 29. Remenyak A. 3. Sydorenko D. 21. Tsyurpalevych-Semochko K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Castro P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Synytsya O. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Remenyak A. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
75', Sydorenko V. 🟨,
76', Castro P. ↓, Wojciechowski V. ↑,
76', Irodovskyi D. ↓, Goulart G. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 8th).
Recent results have been tough for UCSA (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Feniks-Mariupol has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
UCSA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Feniks-Mariupol is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, UCSA has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:5 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UCSA against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).
Watch
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Kovalyov A. (G) 
Castro P. 
Hiago Cena 
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