Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	UD Logroñés		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.5	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.8
	3.2	2.65	2.7	Watch
	3.1	2.65	2.65
	3.31	2.76	2.76
	3	2.8	2.62	Watch
	3.3	2.6	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)	2.71 ↓ (2.74)	2.69 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
30%

Draw
34.9%

Málaga
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

34.3%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.1%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	44%	28%

UD Logroñés - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Logroñés will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Málaga will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 11).

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Málaga has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Málaga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.21	Albacete Balompié - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	UD Logroñés - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
21.02.21	Lugo - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Alcorcón - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	UD Logroñés - Sporting de Gijón	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.21	Málaga - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
01.03.21	Mirandés - Málaga	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.20	Málaga - UD Logroñés	0:0

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