Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Udinese		Benevento

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.75
	1.72	3.6	5.2	Watch
	1.69	3.6	5.2
	1.74	3.68	5.64
	1.73	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.74	3.64	5.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)	3.57 ↑ (3.39)	5.46 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
55.7%

Draw
26.8%

Benevento
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

22.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	21.7%	18.3%

Udinese - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 36 - 60%). Benevento will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 47.6% – 72.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Udinese has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Udinese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Udinese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
20.12.20	Cagliari - Udinese	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Udinese - Crotone	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Torino - Udinese	2:3 ✺
29.11.20	Lazio - Udinese	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.11.20	Udinese - Fiorentina	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWWL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
20.12.20	Benevento - Genoa	2:0 ✺
15.12.20	Benevento - Lazio	1:1 ✺
11.12.20	Sassuolo - Benevento	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Parma - Benevento	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Benevento - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
11.08.18	Udinese - Benevento	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
29.04.18	Benevento - Udinese	3:3
10.12.17	Udinese - Benevento	2:0

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