Match Info

Serie A - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	01:45	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	12:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 7
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
Vietnam	01:45	TV 360, VTVcab
International	18:45	Starzplay Sports app


	Udinese		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.58	3.23	3.09
	2.55	3.03	3.08	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.56	3.28	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2)	3.17 ↓ (3.42)	3.01 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
38%

Draw
30.2%

Cremonese
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cremonese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cremonese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Udinese - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Cremonese (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Udinese (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 50%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 20. Arizala J. 38. Miller L. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 11. Kamara H. 18. Buksa A. 9. Davis K.	1. Audero E. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 24. Terracciano F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 5. Luperto S. 3. Pezzella G. 2. Thorsby M. 33. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.
Substitutes
15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 22. Mlacic B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 24. Piotrowski J. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.	96. Cassin M. (G) 18. Collocolo M. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 69. Nava L. (G) 77. Okereke D. 32. Payero M. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Giampaolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Vardy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kabasele C. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
51', Bonazzoli F. 🟨,
55', Barbieri T. 🟨,
60', Barbieri T. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
60', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
61', Arizala J. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
66', Kamara H. 🟨,
71', Miller L. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
71', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
79', Kamara H. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
82', Maleh Y. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
82', Thorsby M. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
88', Vardy J. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
90+1', Grassi A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Udinese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cremonese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Udinese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Udinese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Udinese	8	1	1	6	9:18	-9	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Udinese: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Cagliari - Udinese	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Udinese - Torino	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Lazio - Udinese	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Udinese - Parma	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWTLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
10.05.26	Cremonese - Pisa	3:0 ✺
04.05.26	Cremonese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Napoli - Cremonese	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.10.25	Cremonese - Udinese	1:1
23.04.23	Udinese - Cremonese	3:0
Club Friendly
29.12.22	Cremonese - Udinese	1:3
Italian Serie A
30.10.22	Cremonese - Udinese	0:0

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