Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Udinese		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	4.50
	1.80	3.60	4.50
	1.81	3.45	4.35
	1.87	3.51	4.84
	1.83	3.58	4.49	Watch
	1.83	3.45	4.75
	1.86	3.68	4.84
	1.83	3.60	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	3.55 ↓ (3.59)	4.6 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
52.3%

Draw
26.9%

Lecce
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

26.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Udinese aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Udinese - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: Udinese will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Udinese will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 15th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 4.

Udinese is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lecce has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Udinese is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Udinese has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:10 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Udinese against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Lecce	6	2	0	4	6:12	-6	6
15	Udinese	6	1	1	4	9:13	-4	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Udinese: 0.23% Lecce: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Udinese - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Lecce - the odds 4.22 are the expected chance of winning is 22.5%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
12.10.26	Torino - Udinese	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Inter Milan - Udinese	5:3 ✺
07.09.26	Udinese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Lecce - Bologna	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1
25.10.25	Udinese - Lecce	3:2
21.02.25	Lecce - Udinese	0:1
05.10.24	Udinese - Lecce	1:0
13.05.24	Lecce - Udinese	0:2
23.10.23	Udinese - Lecce	1:1
28.04.23	Lecce - Udinese	1:0

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