Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 9h 57m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	01:45	Begin
Belarus	22:45	Sport TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	02:45	MyTV
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	01:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	02:45	ANTV, Vidio
Iran	23:15	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	22:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	00:45	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar 4
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine, Sport 1
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Udinese		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.50	1.80	Watch
	4.33	3.60	1.83
	4.50	3.55	1.76
	4.62	3.80	1.84
	4.53	3.73	1.84	Watch
	4.40	3.60	1.80
	4.62	3.80	1.87
	4.50	3.70	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.4)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
21.2%

Draw
26.1%

Milan
52.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.8%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Udinese - Milan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - AC Milan (1.83) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Milan will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Udinese has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Milan is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Milan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Milan for this game.

Confirmed absences for Udinese: Alaba D. (Calf Injury) Bayo V. (Thigh Injury) Gueye I. (Ankle Injury) Zanoli A. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Milan: Chukwueze S. (Hip Injury) Gabbia M. (Thigh Injury) Gila M. (Ankle Injury) Moreira D. (Thigh Injury) Rabiot A. (Calf Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Udinese: Solet O. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Udinese has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Udinese against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:17 goals (averaging 1.1:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	7	15
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 6.22% Udinese: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Udinese - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 21.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Udinese - Lecce	0:3 ✺
12.10.26	Torino - Udinese	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Inter Milan - Udinese	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- AC Milan
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Bournemouth - Milan	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Milan - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3
20.09.25	Udinese - Milan	0:3
11.04.25	Udinese - Milan	0:4
19.10.24	Milan - Udinese	1:0
20.01.24	Udinese - Milan	2:3
04.11.23	Milan - Udinese	0:1
18.03.23	Udinese - Milan	3:1

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