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Roma - Sassuolo

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 20
  • Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Roma Sassuolo
    Roma Sassuolo
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.67 3.6 5.75 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
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    (Initially)    		 1.67 ↑
    (1.6)    		 3.64 ↓
    (3.83)    		 5.81 ↓
    (6.07)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Roma
    57.2%    		Draw
    26.3%    		Sassuolo
    16.5%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    59.5% 24.8% 15.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    60.6% 24.1% 15.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    72.5% 15.9% 11.6%

    Roma - Sassuolo Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 50 - 73.5%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 8 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 63% โ€“ 84%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Sassuolo (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Roma (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (20 of 26 users predict this - 76.92%) ๐Ÿฅˆ Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Sassuolo (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    99. SerbiaSvilar M. (G)
    87. ItalyGhilardi D.
    23. ItalyMancini G. (C)
    22. SpainHermoso M.
    19. TurkeyCelik Z.
    17. FranceKone M.
    61. ItalyPisilli N.
    12. GreeceTsimikas K.
    18. ArgentinaSoule M.
    11. IrelandFerguson E.
    21. ArgentinaDybala P.
    		49. KosovoMuric A. (G)
      6. PolandWalukiewicz S.
    21. IndonesiaIdzes J.
    80. BosniaMuharemovic T.
      3. ScotlandDoig J.
    35. ItalyLipani L.
    18. SerbiaMatic N. (C)
    90. CanadaKone I.
    20. GambiaFadera A.
    99. ItalyPinamonti A.
    45. FranceLauriente A.
    Substitutes
      3. SpainAngelino
    68. ItalyArena A.
    69. GambiaBah M.
    92. ItalyEl Shaarawy S.
    77. ItalyLulli E.
    76. ItalyMirra J.
      2. NetherlandsRensch D.
    60. SwitzerlandRomano A.
    32. ColombiaVasquez Llach D. S. (G)
    43. BrazilWesley Franca
    91. PolandZelezny R. (G)
    24. PolandZiolkowski J.
    		34. ItalyBarani L.
      9. MoroccoCheddira W.
    44. ItalyIannoni E.
    31. ItalyMacchioni T.
    24. ItalyMoro L.
    26. NetherlandsOdenthal C.
    17. ColombiaPaz Y.
    77. ItalyPierini N.
    12. ItalySatalino G. (G)
    14. DenmarkSkjellerup L.
    13. ItalyTurati S. (G)
    40. BelgiumVranckx A.
    16. ItalyZacchi G. (G)
    Coaches
         ItalyGasperini G.
    		     ItalyGrosso F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 22', Kone M. 🟨,
    • 23', Hermoso M. 🟨,
    • 24', Gasperini G. 🟨,
    • 39', Ferguson E. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 59', Muric A. 🟨,
    • 62', Tsimikas K. ↓, Wesley Franca ↑,
    • 72', Lipani L. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
    • 73', Fadera A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
    • 76', 1 - 0, Kone M. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
    • 79', 2 - 0, Soule M. ⚽, El Shaarawy S. (A),
    • 83', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
    • 83', Kone I. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
    • 83', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
    • 85', Matic N. 🟨,
    • 87', Mancini G. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
    • 87', Celik Z. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
    • 87', Soule M. ↓, Romano A. ↑,

    Preview

  • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
  • In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Sassuolo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 0).
  • In this match, Roma is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Roma: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Cristante B. (Yellow Cards) Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) El Aynaoui N. (International duty) Gollini P. (Thigh Injury) Ndicka E. (International duty) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Cande F. (Injury) Coulibaly W. (International duty) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury) Volpato C. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Baldanzi T. (Illness) Rensch D. (Illness)
  • There are questionable in Sassuolo: Paz Y. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 1.9:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    3AS Roma963023:81521
    15Sassuolo922514:22-88

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    AS Roma: 13.44% Sassuolo: 0.05%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Roma - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.51%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AS Roma
    Italian Serie A
    06.01.26 Lecce - Roma 0:2 ✺
    03.01.26 Atalanta - Roma 1:0 ✺
    29.12.25 Roma - Genoa 3:1 ✺
    20.12.25 Juventus - Roma 2:1 ✺
    15.12.25 Roma - Como 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5
    WLWLW
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    06.01.26 Sassuolo - Juventus 0:3 ✺
    03.01.26 Sassuolo - Parma 1:1 ✺
    28.12.25 Bologna - Sassuolo 1:1 ✺
    21.12.25 Sassuolo - Torino 0:1 ✺
    14.12.25 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3
    LTTLT
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    26.10.25 Sassuolo - Roma 0:1
    17.03.24 Roma - Sassuolo 1:0
    03.12.23 Sassuolo - Roma 1:2
    12.03.23 Roma - Sassuolo 3:4
    09.11.22 Sassuolo - Roma 1:1
    13.02.22 Sassuolo - Roma 2:2
    12.09.21 Roma - Sassuolo 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AS Roma
    UEFA Champions League
    03.11.26 Manchester United - Roma ✺
    Italian Serie A
    31.10.26 Udinese - Roma ✺
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    02.11.26 Sassuolo - Fiorentina ✺

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