Match Info

Serie A - Round 20

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab


	Roma		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.55	5.9	Watch
	1.68	3.62	6.23	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.72	3.74	6
	1.69	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	3.64 ↓ (3.83)	5.81 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
57.2%

Draw
26.3%

Sassuolo
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.5%	15.9%	11.6%

Roma - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 50 - 73.5%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 8 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 63% – 84%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Sassuolo (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (20 of 26 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Sassuolo (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 87. Ghilardi D. 23. Mancini G. (C) 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 17. Kone M. 61. Pisilli N. 12. Tsimikas K. 18. Soule M. 11. Ferguson E. 21. Dybala P.	49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 35. Lipani L. 18. Matic N. (C) 90. Kone I. 20. Fadera A. 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
3. Angelino 68. Arena A. 69. Bah M. 92. El Shaarawy S. 77. Lulli E. 76. Mirra J. 2. Rensch D. 60. Romano A. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 91. Zelezny R. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.	34. Barani L. 9. Cheddira W. 44. Iannoni E. 31. Macchioni T. 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 14. Skjellerup L. 13. Turati S. (G) 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kone M. 🟨,
23', Hermoso M. 🟨,
24', Gasperini G. 🟨,
39', Ferguson E. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Muric A. 🟨,
62', Tsimikas K. ↓, Wesley Franca ↑,
72', Lipani L. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
73', Fadera A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Kone M. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
79', 2 - 0, Soule M. ⚽, El Shaarawy S. (A),
83', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
83', Kone I. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
83', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
85', Matic N. 🟨,
87', Mancini G. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
87', Celik Z. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
87', Soule M. ↓, Romano A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.

In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sassuolo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Roma is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Cristante B. (Yellow Cards) Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) El Aynaoui N. (International duty) Gollini P. (Thigh Injury) Ndicka E. (International duty) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Cande F. (Injury) Coulibaly W. (International duty) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury) Volpato C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Baldanzi T. (Illness) Rensch D. (Illness)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Paz Y. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.31% Sassuolo: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.51%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
06.01.26	Lecce - Roma	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Atalanta - Roma	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Juventus - Roma	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sassuolo - Torino	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Milan - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1
17.03.24	Roma - Sassuolo	1:0
03.12.23	Sassuolo - Roma	1:2
12.03.23	Roma - Sassuolo	3:4
09.11.22	Sassuolo - Roma	1:1
13.02.22	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2
12.09.21	Roma - Sassuolo	2:1

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