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Current Win Probability
Udinese 54.3%
Draw 25.6%
Spezia 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
24.6%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
16.2%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.2%
13.6%
15.3%
Udinese - Spezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 42 - 71.2%). Spezia will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 59.6% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
Udinese has the most likely position - 9 (15.19%), has project points - 51, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (24.22%), has project points - 33, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality55, small importance27, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2.
Recent matches Udinese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Spezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Udinese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Udinese is a favorite.
There will not play in Udinese: Bijol J.
(Yellow Cards)
Ebosse E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Knee Injury)
Holm E.
(Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zoet J.
(Knee Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Udinese: Deulofeu G.
(Knee Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
Africa
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
France
Hungary
Poland
Portugal
Serbia
Slovenia
Sweden
United-kingdom
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