The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 24.4%
Draw 28.5%
CSKA Moscow 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
27.9%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
28.2%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+5%)
Ufa - CSKA Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Ufa has the most likely position - 16 (26.6%), has project points - 28, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
CSKA has the most likely position - 3 (34.65%), has project points - 52, has currently - 43, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, importance42, match rating42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0.
Recent matches Ufa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
CSKA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match CSKA is a favorite.
Last 25 head-to-head matches Ufa won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 13-41.
Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-16.
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