Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gwangju		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.80	3.30	3.70
	1.85	3.4	3.85
	1.91	3.53	4.08
	1.86	3.53	4.01	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.9
	1.92	3.43	3.89	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.68)	3.42 ↓ (3.74)	3.89 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
49.3%

Draw
26.9%

Cheonan City
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

21.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.

Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gwangju - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Choi Kyoung-Rok ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Gwangju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gwangju has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gwangju is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Gwangju - Jeju	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Anyang - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	0:3 ✺
05.07.26	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTTLT
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
24.07.26	Seoul E-Land - Cheonan City	4:3 ✺
19.07.26	Cheongju - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
10.07.26	Cheonan City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
24.10.26	Bucheon - Gwangju	✺
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
25.10.26	Cheonan City - Ansan Greeners	✺

Gwangju - Cheonan City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide