Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	União Barbarense		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.36	2.77	3.1
	2.34	2.89	3.12	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.34	3.13	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)	2.91 ↓ (3.12)	3.04 (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
39%

Draw
31.2%

Rio Preto
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

União Barbarense - Rio Preto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Marcos Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Marcos Henrique ⚽,
75', 🟥,
90', 0 - 3, Felipe Codo ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

União Barbarense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rio Preto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

União Barbarense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Barbarense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, União Barbarense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	União Barbarense - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	União Barbarense - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTW
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.03.26	Itapirense - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	4:0 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Rio Preto - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Francana - Rio Preto	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
31.01.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	1:1

União Barbarense - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide