Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Unión Santa Fe		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	3
	2.34	3.06	2.95
	2.3	3.13	2.89	Watch
	2.42	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.68)	3.07 ↓ (3.45)	2.99 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
39.3%

Draw
29.9%

Alianza Lima
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Unión Santa Fe - Alianza Lima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unión is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Lima - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWW
- Alianza Lima
Serie Rio de la Plata
10.01.26	Independiente - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
06.12.25	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	3:4 penalties ✺
02.12.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
05.11.25	Los Chankas - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW

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