Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.25	5
	1.85	3.15	4.85
	1.87	3.19	5.44
	1.87	3.13	5.02
	1.8	3	5
	1.82	3.29	5.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	5.11 ↓ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
51.6%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Riestra
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

30.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

29.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	17.6%	0%

Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.	1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 19. Randazzo J. 22. Paz C. 6. Barbieri M. 13. Gallo R. 16. Watson N. 20. Garcia M. 7. Alonso A. 10. Diaz A. 9. Herrera J. (C)
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 9. Colazo A. 44. Fagioli T. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 10. Gonzalez T. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.	8. Benegas N. 39. Duarte L. 27. Goitia J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 24. Mino F. 14. Monje P. 11. Nsumoh J. 40. Obredor G. 23. Ramirez M. 37. Sanchez D. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Benitez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Estigarribia M. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Gallo R. ↓, Goitia J. ↑,
28', Goitia J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Herrera J. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
60', Barbieri M. 🟨,
65', Alonso A. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
66', 🟨,
69', Cuello B. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
75', Barbieri M. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
76', Diaz A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
82', Profini R. ↓, Giaccone E. ↑,
83', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
83', Ramirez M. 🟨,
88', Vargas L. 🟨,
90', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fascendini V. ↑,
90+4', Tarragona C. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Tarragona C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Unión: Paz N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Tovo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo Riestra: Bracamonte M. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Copa Argentina
30.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	4:4 ✺
01.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTTW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.24	Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra	0:0

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