Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heidenheim		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.87	3.45	2.61
	2.74	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.82	3.49	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.23)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	2.54 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
34.4%

Draw
28.1%

Union Berlin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.4%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidenheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Heidenheim - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Union Berlin (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 26. Behrens H. 8. Dinkci E. 16. Niehues J. 3. Schoppner J. 17. Honsak M. 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 8. Khedira R. (C) 19. Haberer J. 33. Kral A. 13. Schafer A. 39. Kohn D. 7. Burke O. 23. Ilic A.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 10. Conteh C. 30. Dorsch N. 40. Feller F. (G) 22. Ibrahimovic A. 20. Kerber L. 4. Siersleben T. 23. Traore O. H. 11. Zivzivadze B.	10. Ansah I. 9. Burcu L. 49. Guther L. 18. Juranovic J. 6. Kemlein A. 25. Klaus C. (G) 15. Rothe T. 21. Skarke T. 28. Trimmel C.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Honsak M. ⚽, Pieringer M. (A),
31', Burke O. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Honsak M. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
62', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
69', Schimmer S. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
69', Schafer A. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
69', Leite D. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Querfeld L. ⚽, Khedira R. (A),
77', Honsak M. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
78', Pieringer M. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
84', Kral A. ↓, Guther L. ↑,
87', Guther L. 🟨,
88', Schoppner J. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
88', Dinkci E. ↓, Beck A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 4.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Preu D. (Inactive) Raab M. (Hand Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Union Berlin: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1

Last Results with these Odds

Union Berlin - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLLL
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
05.04.26	Union Berlin - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	1:2
10.05.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	0:3
11.01.25	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	2:0
24.02.24	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	2:2
30.09.23	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	1:0
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.19	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	2:1

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