The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Berlin 67%
Draw 20.4%
Malmö 12.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.3%
21%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
20.3%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.9%
6.7%
24.4%
Union Berlin - Malmö Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 31 - 68.9%). Malmö will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 55.4% – 82.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Union Berlin has a chance of knockout phase (39%), has a chance of round of 16 (24%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (11%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a good chance of 3rd (60%).
Malmö has a very small chance of knockout phase (<1%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (<1%), has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%).
This event has quality48, importance38, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Union Berlin have a series of guest games.
In this match Union Berlin is certain favorite.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Baumgartl T.
(Illness)
Mohwald K.
(Knock)
Schafer A.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Malmö: Nalic A.
(Knee Injury)
Nielsen L.
(Injury)
Rieks S.
(Injury)
Siby M.
(Hip Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.