Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Andorra	15:30	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	14:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	21:30	MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	00:30	TVWan Sports
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.62	4.15	5.4	Watch
	1.58	4.19	5.71	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5	Watch
	1.64	4.1	5.64	Watch
	1.61	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	4.06 ↑ (3.72)	5.46 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
59.1%

Draw
23.4%

Union Berlin
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

25.6%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	6.5%	7.8%

Stuttgart - Union Berlin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - Stuttgart (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Stuttgart (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (65 of 75 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.98% – 94.36%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 28. Nartey N. 6. Stiller A. 16. Karazor A. (C) 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D. 10. Fuhrich C.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 19. Haberer J. 8. Khedira R. (C) 13. Schafer A. 18. Juranovic J. 9. Burcu L. 6. Kemlein A. 23. Ilic A.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 9. Demirovic E. 29. Jeltsch F. 25. Jeremy Arevalo 15. Stenzel P.	10. Ansah I. 7. Burke O. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 33. Kral A. 27. Ljubicic M. 34. Nsoki S. 17. Preu D. 31. Raab M. (G) 28. Trimmel C.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Burcu L. 🟨,
41', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Fuhrich C. ⚽, Hendriks R. (A),
69', Burcu L. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
69', Juranovic J. ↓, Nsoki S. ↑,
75', Schafer A. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
75', Nartey N. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
76', Fuhrich C. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Jeong Woo-Yeong ⚽, Nsoki S. (A),
90', Stiller A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
90', Hendriks R. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
90', Vagnoman J. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
90+2', Ilic A. ↓, Burke O. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.

Stuttgart is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Union Berlin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stuttgart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Illness) El Khannouss B. (International duty) Jaquez L. (Thigh Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Knock) Kohn D. (Red Card) Rothe T. (Injury) Skarke T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Stuttgart will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10:13	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Union Berlin: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
13.01.26	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Stuttgart - Luzern	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTW
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Union Berlin - Mainz	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	2:1
19.04.25	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	4:4
06.12.24	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	3:2
08.03.24	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	2:0
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	1:0
German Bundesliga
21.10.23	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	0:3
01.04.23	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	3:0

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