Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	21:00	beIN Sports Max
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	21:00	Sport 1
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Union Berlin		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.45	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.64	3.6	2.11
	3.6	3.59	2.12
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.64	3.72	2
	3.55	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	3.62 ↓ (3.94)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: Galavisión

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
27.2%

Draw
26.4%

Real Madrid
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

24.1%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	8.7%	78.3%

Union Berlin - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (72 of 92 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.83% – 86.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 3. Jaeckel P. 31. Knoche R. 4. Leite D. 26. Roussillon J. 19. Haberer J. 8. Khedira R. (C) 18. Juranovic J. 10. Volland K. 6. Gosens R. 17. Behrens K.	25. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 17. Lucas 6. Fernandez N. (C) 4. Alaba D. 20. Garcia F. 19. Ceballos D. 15. Valverde F. 10. Modric L. 5. Bellingham J. 11. Rodrygo 14. Joselu
Substitutes
7. Aaronson B. 27. Becker S. 38. Dehl L. 11. Fofana D. D. 33. Kral A. 20. Laidouni A. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 39. Stein Y. (G) 28. Trimmel C.	31. Canizares L. (G) 21. Diaz B. 33. Garcia G. 8. Kroos T. 13. Lunin A. (G) 28. Martin M. 23. Mendy F. 32. Paz N. 22. Rudiger A. 36. Tobias V.
Coaches
Bjelica N.	Ancelotti C.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Olympiastadion.

Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Union Berlin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Bonucci L. (Yellow Cards) Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Tousart L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Calf Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Becker S. (Knock)

There are questionable in Real: Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
09.12.23	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Braga - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.11.23	Union Berlin - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Napoli - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTLT
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
09.12.23	Betis - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Real Madrid - Granada	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Real Madrid - Napoli	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Cádiz - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Real Madrid - Union Berlin	1:0

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