Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Union Omaha		Central Valley Fuego

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.8	6.25
	1.37	5.05	6.3
	1.38	5.09	6.82	Watch
	1.34	4.85	6.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	4.95 ↑ (4.87)	6.55 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
67.5%

Draw
18.5%

Central Valley Fuego
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

18.9%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

18%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Central Valley Fuego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Union Omaha - Central Valley Fuego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Lapsley W. (G) 2. Jerome M. 77. Bawa I. 5. Milanese M. (C) 27. Jiba R. 15. Knapp B. 23. Schneider M. 13. Holt A. 21. Gomez J. 70. Kunga L. 11. Lewis Z.	1. Zuluaga A. (G) 7. John-Brown S. 15. Torr C. 33. Vinberg S. 24. Bustamante B. 34. Garcia K. 8. Heckenberg C. (C) 10. Carrera J. 32. Mariona J. 9. Benson Bodden D. O. 20. Midence A.
Substitutes
33. Aoumaich A. 18. Bronnik M. 7. Gallardo J. 3. Malone B. 4. Mastrantonio L. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 20. Ostrem C. 99. Rodriguez M.	3. Apollon A. 23. Avilez C. (G) 17. Lemus O. 11. Mendiola R. 14. Vazquez Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽, Jiba R. (A),
20', Vinberg S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Garcia K. ↓, Apollon A. ↑,
46', Jerome M. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
46', Gomez J. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
47', Bronnik M. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Jiba R. ⚽,
55', Knapp B. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Bronnik M. ⚽, Malone B. (A),
62', Schneider M. ↓, Ostrem C. ↑,
70', Jiba R. 🟨,
73', Vinberg S. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
73', Lewis Z. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
82', Midence A. 🟨,
83', Carrera J. ↓, Mendiola R. ↑,
83', John-Brown S. ↓, Lemus O. ↑,
85', Knapp B. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Mariona J. ⚽, Vazquez Z. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
19.10.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Union Omaha	2:3 ✺
12.10.24	Union Omaha - Lexington	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	4:0 ✺
21.09.24	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW
- Central Valley Fuego
USL League One
20.10.24	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	One Knoxville - Central Valley Fuego	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Central Valley Fuego - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
02.10.24	Central Valley Fuego - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
09.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:1
29.05.24	Union Omaha - Central Valley Fuego	1:0 penalties
USL League One
16.03.24	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	1:2
23.09.23	Union Omaha - Central Valley Fuego	2:1
01.07.23	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:1
08.04.23	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:2
15.10.22	Union Omaha - Central Valley Fuego	0:2

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