Match Info

Date: 5 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Unión Santa Fe		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	4
	1.93	3.25	4
	1.84	3.35	4.2
	1.92	3.25	4
	1.97	3.37	4.35
	1.91	3.1	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.42	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.06)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	4.07 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
48.8%

Draw
28.2%

Nacional Montevideo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

31.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	13.8%	34.5%

Unión Santa Fe - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Unión Santa Fe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unión Santa Fe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Santa Fe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.07.22	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.22	Nacional Montevideo - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.06.22	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
19.06.22	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	1:5 ✺
15.06.22	Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWLW
- Nacional Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.22	Nacional Montevideo - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.06.22	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
13.06.22	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
05.06.22	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.06.22	Nacional Montevideo - Unión Santa Fe	2:0

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