Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	2.44	2.88	3.33
				Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.33
	2.33	2.8	3.2
	2.23	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.23)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.53 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
42.9%

Draw
31%

Deportivo Maldonado
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maldonado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+5%)

Uruguay Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Maldonado (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Cesar R. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Perdomo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 2, de Leon E. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, de Leon E. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Uruguay Montevideo might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Uruguay Montevideo - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Artigas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
04.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLW
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWTT

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