Match Info

Date: 19 June 2022, Sunday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.52
	2.48	3.15	2.55
	2.48	3.24	2.73
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.33	3.3	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.84)	3.22 ↑ (2.95)	2.6 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
36.8%

Draw
28.2%

Villa Española
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Villa Española will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay Montevideo: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Uruguay Montevideo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Villa Española is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.06.22	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
04.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:1 ✺
28.05.22	Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
25.05.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:0 ✺
21.05.22	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWWWW
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.06.22	Miramar Misiones - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Villa Española - Central Español	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Sud América - Villa Española	2:0 ✺
24.05.22	Villa Española - Cerro	0:1 ✺
20.05.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Villa Española	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLW

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