Match Info

Date: 9 March 2021, Tuesday


	VVV-Venlo		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.7	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.55	3.35	2.04
	3.88	3.49	2.06
	3.7	3.4	2	Watch
	3.56	3.6	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.22)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	2.03 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
25.9%

Draw
27.4%

Sparta Rotterdam
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

17.6%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	19.7%	53.9%

VVV Venlo - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 20 - 26.3%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 41 - 53.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 42.7% – 65.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

Venlo has a chance of relegated (19%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Sparta Rotterdam has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Venlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Venlo have a series of guest games.

Sparta Rotterdam will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Venlo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eredivisie
06.03.21	Feyenoord - VVV-Venlo	6:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.03.21	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.21	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	4:1 ✺
20.02.21	VVV-Venlo - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.02.21	NEC Nijmegen - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
05.03.21	Emmen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II	0:2 ✺
21.02.21	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:2 ✺
13.02.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
31.01.21	ADO Den Haag - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.20	VVV-Venlo - Sparta Rotterdam	Canceled
09.08.19	Sparta Rotterdam - VVV-Venlo	4:1
07.04.18	Sparta Rotterdam - VVV-Venlo	3:2
12.08.17	VVV-Venlo - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.02.16	Sparta Rotterdam - VVV-Venlo	3:1
24.08.15	VVV-Venlo - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
24.04.15	VVV-Venlo - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1

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