Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 26

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Netherlands	ESPN
Romania	Sport Extra
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Emmen		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.6
	2.85	3.1	2.65
	2.9	3.05	2.6
	3.05	3.07	2.64
	2.9	3	2.55	Watch
	2.91	3.18	2.54	Watch
	3	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.63)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.59 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
32.5%

Draw
30.7%

Sparta Rotterdam
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	61.9%	33.3%

Emmen - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs)).

Emmen has the most likely position - 15 (27.88%), project points - 29, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Sparta Rotterdam has the most likely position - 6 (48.15%), project points - 54, currently - 43, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 45, importance 31, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Emmen: Hardeveld J. (Knee Injury) Kieftenbeld M. (Knee Injury) Zivkovic R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Auassar A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Emmen: Darfalou O. (Injury) Guclu M. (Injury) Lieder M. (Knee Injury) Mendes R. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Emmen won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eredivisie
11.03.23	Emmen - Excelsior	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Volendam - Emmen	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Emmen - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Groningen - Emmen	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Emmen - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTL
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
11.03.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
05.03.23	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	1:4 ✺
24.02.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	0:3 ✺
19.02.23	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
12.02.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.10.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Emmen	3:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Emmen	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
05.03.21	Emmen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
04.12.20	Sparta Rotterdam - Emmen	2:1
01.03.20	Sparta Rotterdam - Emmen	5:1
15.12.19	Emmen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:0
20.05.18	Sparta Rotterdam - Emmen	1:3

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