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Current Win Probability
VVV-Venlo 12.2%
Draw 17.7%
AZ Alkmaar 70.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.9%
18%
70.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
9.6%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The chances for AZ Alkmaar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-32.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.9%
12.8%
51.3%
VVV Venlo - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 14 - 35.9%). AZ will win (votes: 20 - 51.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 35.6% – 67%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Venlo has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
AZ has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of qualify for ucl (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Venlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Venlo have a series of guest games.
In this match AZ is certain favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Venlo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.
Watch
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