Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Valladolid		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.37	4.33	7.25
	1.38	4.4	8.5	Watch
	1.37	4.5	7.8
	1.4	4.7	9.49
				Watch
	1.38	4.85	8.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.55 ↑ (3.9)	8.32 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valladolid
68%

Draw
20.7%

Lugo
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

23.9%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid's performance.

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Valladolid - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Valladolid has the most likely position - 3 (27.74%), has project points - 77, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a good chance of promoted (63%), has a chance of win league (25%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 15 (13.5%), has project points - 54, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 43, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Valladolid is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.22	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
05.03.22	Tenerife - Valladolid	1:4 ✺
27.02.22	Valladolid - Amorebieta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.22	Eibar - Lugo	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Lugo - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Almería - Lugo	3:3 ✺
06.03.22	Lugo - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Las Palmas - Lugo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.21	Lugo - Valladolid	0:2
24.03.18	Lugo - Valladolid	0:0
22.10.17	Valladolid - Lugo	2:2
26.02.17	Valladolid - Lugo	1:1
20.09.16	Lugo - Valladolid	1:0
01.05.16	Valladolid - Lugo	1:1
29.11.15	Lugo - Valladolid	1:1

Upcoming Matches