Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Ena A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Valladolid		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.85	Watch
	1.72	3.74	5.33
	1.75	3.57	4.84	Watch
	1.78	3.5	5.15	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.57 (3.57)	5.13 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
55.3%

Draw
26.4%

Málaga
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

28.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Valladolid - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Málaga (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 24. Juric S. (C) 22. Peter Federico 21. Ponceau J. 6. Lachuer M. 11. Ndiaye A. 10. Marcos Andre	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 36. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 12. Dotor C. 11. Munoz J. 21. Nino A. 22. Lorenzo D.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 19. Arnuncio A. 17. Biuk S. 7. Canos S. 20. Chuki 23. Jaouab M. 9. Latasa J. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli	7. Abaida H. 26. Arriaza P. 9. Chupe 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 16. Murillo D. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Almada G.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Peter Federico ⚽,
24', Marcos Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Garcia V. 🟨,
56', Marcos Andre ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
57', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Nino A. ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
65', Ndiaye A. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
65', Lachuer M. ↓, Chuki ↑,
68', Garcia V. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
68', Lorenzo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
72', Munoz J. ↓, Chupe ↑,
74', Ponceau J. 🟨,
77', Nino A. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
81', Ponceau J. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
81', Peter Federico ↓, Canos S. ↑,
90+1', Alani I. 🟨,
90+3', Alani I. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Valladolid is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Delgado J. (Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Ochoa A. (Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
24.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.11.25	Valladolid - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.11.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Cádiz - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Valladolid - Granada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLTW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Málaga - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.04.22	Málaga - Valladolid	2:2
08.10.21	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1
Club Friendly
23.08.20	Málaga - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.14	Málaga - Valladolid	1:1
27.09.13	Valladolid - Málaga	2:2
09.03.13	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1
20.10.12	Málaga - Valladolid	2:1

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