Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 7

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Valmiera 2		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.2	3.15
	1.79	3.73	3.95
	1.8	4.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera 2
50.8%

Draw
22.6%

Mārupe
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

21.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Valmiera 2 - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 4. Cepelevs N. 15. Cesnieks K. 19. Kalnins E. 10. Mylchenko A. 14. Omori Y. 22. Owusu R. 16. Pulis I. (C) 8. Rotar C. 20. Tiago Mumu 11. Zauska R. K.	40. Zandreiters R. (G) 8. Abedi Rodo Y. 11. Cebotarjovs V. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 99. Marusii M. 3. Marusii T. 15. Sackovs G. 19. Sadovnikovs R. 21. Strauss G. 25. Zaharovs K.
Substitutes
18. Buss R. 5. Cepelevs D. 2. Krasts R. 7. Lucas Aruba 17. Maurs-Boks E. 1. Minuss R. (G) 21. Rusmanis M. 13. Stupelis O.	10. Griskovs G. 18. Kholmetskyi Y. 23. Kokorevics N. 4. Meiers M. 14. Molcanovs M. 27. Norkuss D. 12. Roga R. 29. Tomass-Polis K. 1. Urigajevs V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Omori Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Kholmetskyi Y. ↑,
46', Rotar C. ↓, Cepelevs D. ↑,
46', Omori Y. ↓, Lucas Aruba ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Lucas Aruba ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Pulis I. ⚽,
56', Cesnieks K. ↓, Buss R. ↑,
62', Marusii T. 🟨,
63', 4 - 0, Barbosa T. ⚽,
64', Marusii M. ↓, Kokorevics N. ↑,
64', Zaharovs K. ↓, Molcanovs M. ↑,
64', Sackovs G. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
65', 🟨,
77', Zauska R. K. ↓, Maurs-Boks E. ↑,
81', Pulis I. ↓, Stupelis O. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

Valmiera 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mārupe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Valmiera 2 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Valmiera 2 to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
11.05.24	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:4 ✺
04.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Olaine	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Rēzekne - Valmiera 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera 2	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Valmiera 2 - Tukums 2000 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
11.05.24	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Leevon PPK - Mārupe	4:2 ✺
14.04.24	Mārupe - JDFS Alberts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLL

Valmiera 2 - Mārupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide