Match Info

HNL - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Varazdin (Varaždin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Varaždin		Gorica

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.48	3.2	2.72
	2.75	3.23	2.67
	2.6	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.63	3	2.63
	2.58	3.13	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)	2.65 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varaždin
35.7%

Draw
29.4%

Gorica
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Varaždin - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Varaždin (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zelenika O. (C) 13. Mladenovski M. 14. Puncec R. 16. Tepsic N. 23. Maglica F. 6. Puclin D. 8. Duvnjak T. 20. Sikosek G. 7. Vuk M. 22. Mamic L. 10. Latkovic A.	71. Matijas D. (G) 45. Peric S. 4. Filipovic J. 19. Cabraja M. 22. Trontelj Z. 36. Kavelj A. 8. Pozo I. 25. Bogojevic B. 10. Prsir J. (C) 24. Pavicic D. 50. Erceg A.
Substitutes
44. Barac M. 12. Bockaj P. 25. Borsic A. 28. Canjuga I. 15. Ilinkovic S. 2. Lesjak S. 24. Marina M. 18. Paizinho 30. Posinkovic L. 33. Silic J. (G) 38. Tavares I.	7. Bakic O. 32. Durakovic E. 64. Epailly T. 18. Fiolic I. 35. Josic Z. 14. Kucis S. 5. Les M. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 11. Sule W. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)
Coaches
Safaric N.	Carevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Pozo I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Latkovic A. ⚽, Mladenovski M. (A),
33', Tepsic N. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Erceg A. ⚽, Prsir J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pozo I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
46', Pavicic D. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
56', Latkovic A. 🟨,
63', Puclin D. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
69', Erceg A. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
71', Mamic L. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
71', Sule W. 🟨,
78', Cabraja M. 🟨,
82', Prsir J. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
83', Kavelj A. 🟨,
86', Vuk M. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
89', Bogojevic B. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
90+1', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
90+2', Bakic O. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Varaždin: Juric S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13:7	6	15
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
20.03.26	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Varaždin - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
28.02.26	Varaždin - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLT
- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
22.03.26	Gorica - Rijeka	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Osijek - Gorica	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
01.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:3
Croatian HNL
26.01.26	Gorica - Varaždin	1:2
19.10.25	Gorica - Varaždin	1:3
04.08.25	Varaždin - Gorica	1:1
04.04.25	Varaždin - Gorica	0:0
25.01.25	Gorica - Varaždin	1:1
Croatian Cup
14.11.24	Varaždin - Gorica	1:2 penalties

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