Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Vargas Torres		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.06	3.33	Watch
	1.94	3.3	3.57
	2.46	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
41.8%

Draw
29.9%

Cumbayá
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Vargas Torres - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Vargas Torres have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cumbayá is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vargas Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vargas Torres might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.10.25	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
08.10.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTTW
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.10.25	Cumbayá - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Cumbayá - Atlético Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
15.10.25	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.08.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	1:1
22.07.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	2:1
14.05.25	Vargas Torres - Cumbayá	4:0

Vargas Torres - Cumbayá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide