Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Varzim		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.45	3	2.85
	2.45	2.95	2.85
	2.55	2.9	2.95
	2.58	3.07	3.13
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.53	3.04	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.73)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)	2.88 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
36.9%

Draw
31.1%

Leixões
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

21.4%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leixões might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varzim - Leixões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Varzim won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.22	Varzim - Nacional	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Chaves - Varzim	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Rio Ave - Varzim	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Mafra - Varzim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLTWT
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
06.02.22	Leixões - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
02.02.22	Leixões - Mafra	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:0 ✺
24.01.22	Leixões - Chaves	1:1 ✺
17.01.22	Farense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.21	Leixões - Varzim	1:1
08.03.21	Varzim - Leixões	0:1
16.10.20	Leixões - Varzim	3:1
08.02.20	Leixões - Varzim	1:0
25.08.19	Varzim - Leixões	0:1
29.01.19	Varzim - Leixões	2:1
19.08.18	Leixões - Varzim	0:1

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