The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional 63%
Draw 19.9%
Porto B 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
24.8%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
24.4%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
0%
7.1%
Nacional - Porto B Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nacional will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 10. Esteves L. 77. Gustavo 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 9. Ramirez J.
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 44. Correia R. (C) 73. Bras G. 72. Pinheiro R. 46. Braima 62. Fernandes R. 98. Abraham M. 67. Sousa V. 96. Gui Guedes 95. Cande U.
Substitutes
71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 18. Sousa A. 55. Sousa A.
66. Cassama A. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 78. Meireles J. 77. Monteiro R. 86. Mora R. 89. Mota L. 68. Oliveira A. 54. Ribeiro A. 92. Teixeira J.
Coaches
Margarido T.
Folha A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Witi ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
57', Witi ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
60', Braima ↓, Mora R. ↑,
60', Gui Guedes ↓, Cassama A. ↑,
60', Cande U. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
69', Carlos Daniel ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
73', Fernandes R. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
84', Sousa V. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
86', Esteves L. ↓, Marakis S. ↑,
86', Gustavo ↓, Dudu ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽, Macedo R. (A),
90+2', 4 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Danilovic V. (A),
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
In this match Nacional is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Nacional to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-1.
Portugal
Watch
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Lucas Franca (G) 
Aurelio J. (C) 
Danilovic V. 
Witi 
Ramirez J. 
Abraham M. 
Cande U. 
Marakis S. 
Pola J. 
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