Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Ecuador	DSports 4, ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Vasco da Gama		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.5
	1.37	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.39	4.89	8.01
	1.36	5.15	7.87	Watch
	1.33	4.8	7.5
	1.39	5.39	8.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	4.93 ↓ (5.6)	7.8 ↓ (8.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
68.7%

Draw
19.2%

Barracas Central
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

16.9%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.9%

16.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Vasco da Gama - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 3. Tche Tche 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 28. Adson 10. Rojas J. 11. Andres Gomez 77. Spinelli C.	30. Mino M. (G) 14. Jappert K. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 4. Martinez D. 5. Miloc D. 16. Guaraz I. A. 6. Insua R. 11. Briasco N. 7. Bruera F. 10. Tapia I. (C)
Substitutes
20. Brenner 72. Bruno Lopes 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 25. Hugo Moura 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 86. Lukas Zuccarello 17. Moreira N. 83. Ramon Rique 82. Riquelme Avellar 4. Saldivia A.	13. Barrios R. 28. Bogarin R. 37. Campi G. 20. Candia J. 18. Duarte M. 1. Espinola J. (G) 33. Maroni G. 8. Porra T. 79. Puig M. 15. Rak Y. 24. Taborda E.
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Insua R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Bruera F. 🟨,
14', Tche Tche 🟨,
16', Cauan Barros 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Adson ⚽,
35', Tobio F. 🟨,
39', Insua R. 🟥,
43', Martinez D. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Adson ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tapia I. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,
46', Guaraz I. A. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
46', Briasco N. ↓, Bogarin R. ↑,
46', Spinelli C. ↓, Brenner ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Adson (A),
57', Adson ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
57', Tche Tche ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
61', Martinez D. ↓, Campi G. ↑,
62', Porra T. 🟨,
70', Miloc D. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
70', Cuiabano ↓, Riquelme Avellar ↑,
70', Cauan Barros ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
87', Brenner (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vasco is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Vasco: 20.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLTW
- Barracas Central
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Audax Italiano - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Barracas Central - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Barracas Central - Banfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Barracas Central - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama	0:0

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