Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 7h 51m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	20:00	Flow Eventos
Bolivia	19:00	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	20:00	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	18:00	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Israel	01:00	Sport 2
Kosovo	00:00	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	17:00	Azteca Deportes
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	00:00	Arena Premium 3
Paraguay	20:00	Flow Eventos
Portugal	23:00	Canal 11
Russia	02:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	00:00	Arena Premium 3
Spain	00:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
United Kingdom	23:00	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	20:00	Flow
Usa	19:00	Fanatiz


	Vasco da Gama		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.50	1.79	Watch
	3.90	3.60	1.90
	4.20	3.70	1.78
	4.17	3.83	1.92
	3.91	3.74	1.91
	4.10	3.75	1.87
	3.99	3.82	1.89	Watch
	3.95	3.65	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.53)	3.7 ↑ (3.43)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
23.4%

Draw
25.7%

Flamengo
50.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vasco da Gama - Flamengo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Flamengo (1.91) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.

Vasco has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Flamengo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Flamengo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Flamengo is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Vasco: Cauan Barros (Inactive) Cuesta C. (Inactive) Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Flamengo: Carrascal J. (Yellow Cards) Danilo (Jaw injury) Evertton Araujo (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Vasco: Gomez A. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vasco has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:34 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vasco against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 3:15 goals (averaging 0.4:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	32	21	7	4	64:27	37	70
13	Vasco	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Flamengo RJ: 69.34%

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.79%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
24.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.10.26	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.10.26	Boca Juniors - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Remo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWT
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.26	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.10.26	Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.26	Bahia - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.10.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Flamengo - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
21.01.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:1
19.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:1
01.03.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:1
15.02.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:0

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