Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN


	Vasco da Gama		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.51	4.10	6.00
	1.46	4.15	6.4	Watch
	1.5	4.18	7.05
	1.53	4.15	6.37	Watch
	1.46	4.1	6.95	Watch
	1.53	4.35	5.98	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	4.2 ↑ (3.79)	6.4 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
62.9%

Draw
22.4%

Independiente Medellín
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Vasco da Gama - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 3. Tche Tche 17. Moreira N. 83. Ramon Rique 11. Gomez A. 77. Spinelli C.	25. Chaux E. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 4. Mantilla K. 5. Varela J. 13. Mena J. 16. Loboa H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 70. Cordoba J. 21. Martegani A. 20. Montano J. 9. Medina J.
Substitutes
28. Adson 20. Brenner 66. Cuiabano 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 8. Jair 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 2. Rodriguez J. 10. Rojas J. 4. Saldivia A.	10. Catano D. 39. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 34. Klinger K. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 14. Perlaza B. 12. Romero S. (G) 19. Simarra A. 11. Yony Gonzalez
Coaches
Emanuel P.	Perea L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Spinelli C. 🟨,
39', Varela J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Lucas Piton ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
57', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
59', Loboa H. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
60', Robert Renan ↓, Saldivia A. ↑,
66', Spinelli C. ↓, Brenner ↑,
66', Ramon Rique ↓, Jair ↑,
69', Jair 🟨,
80', Moreno D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
80', Montano J. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Thiago Mendes ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
86', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
90', Cordoba J. ↓, Klinger K. ↑,
90+2', Klinger K. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Vasco: 20.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
25.07.26	Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.06.26	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Leones - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Vasco da Gama	2:2

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