Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Venados		Tapatío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.40	3.50
	1.75	3.6	4.05
	1.76	3.82	4.64
	1.75	3.75	4.41	Watch
	1.86	3.55	4
	1.71	3.92	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.96)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)	4.14 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
52.3%

Draw
25.3%

Tapatío
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados's performance.

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Venados - Tapatío Predictions

Users Predictions: Venados will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos R. (G) 31. Dominguez I. 13. Ochoa Brandon 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 14. Montiel S. 6. Torres E. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 11. Tejeda D. 30. Torres M. 7. Reyes J. 29. Lora S.	45. Garcia E. (G) 43. Parra R. 42. Delgadillo D. 55. Esparza S. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. (C) 54. Nuno R. 50. Medina C. 182. Calderon L. 199. Ben Rhouma A. 57. Hernandez J.
Substitutes
18. Amador K. 17. Arroyo L. 27. Benitez S. 20. Cruz J. 1. Gonzalez C. (G) 8. Kilani P. 9. Lazarte L. 16. Macias L. 22. Montelongo M. 34. Saucedo S.	63. Cendejas M. 65. Corona C. 47. Garcia G. 64. Latorre D. 61. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 53. Soldati C. 69. Villaseca D. 44. Zamora S.
Coaches
Castro N.	Melendez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Hernandez J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Reyes J. ⚽, Dominguez I. (A),
39', Jimenez L. 🟨,
45+1', Reyes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Calderon L. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
46', Jimenez L. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Ledesma L. (Penalty Awarded),
51', Ben Rhouma A. 🟨,
55', Torres M. ↓, Kilani P. ↑,
57', Ben Rhouma A. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Medina C. ⚽, Garcia G. (A),
69', 2 - 2, Reyes J. ⚽, Kilani P. (A),
72', 3 - 2, Lora S. ⚽, Reyes J. (A),
79', Medina C. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
79', Hernandez J. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
79', Reyes J. ↓, Montelongo M. ↑,
85', Montiel S. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
90', Lora S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.

In this match, Venados is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Venados won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19
10	Tapatio	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Venados	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Jaiba Brava - Venados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWT
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.26	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Tapatío - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Cancún - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
23.04.26	Tapatío - Cancún	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dorados - Tapatío	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.01.26	Tapatío - Venados	4:2
08.08.25	Venados - Tapatío	1:3
05.03.25	Venados - Tapatío	4:2
27.09.24	Tapatío - Venados	2:2
10.01.24	Tapatío - Venados	0:2
29.08.23	Venados - Tapatío	2:1
22.03.23	Venados - Tapatío	0:0

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